UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays
Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both men come into this battle on career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio is going to be a large factor and there a few tougher than Blachowicz. Santos yells everything with complete power and is based on finishing opponents. In a five round fight this strategy is a risky one that is going to backfire in the subsequent rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of his own but conserves cardio for a more consistent output. On the feet both men can get their moments, but the exact jab of Blachowicz is very likely to cause Santos problems. His boxing is dangerous yet wild and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping
hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz around the floor. Since Santos tires that the takedowns will be open and Santos has struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills must find Blachowicz a complete when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz at 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the feet Ismagulov is fast with his in and out striking. Defensively he averts trouble whilst throwing some flashy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the toes with a riskier design. He keeps his hands but does throw aggressive combinations. The major differential lies in the grappling section. Alvarez has not shown great takedown defense on the regional landscape and is based on high hazard admissions off his spine. This strategy succeeds. Search for Ismagulov to pushhis edge standing and search for trips and takedowns into the mat where he favours top and control position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Components to win 1.70 Units.
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